2012-11-04

Obama291, Romney234, Toss-Up13
Poll data gathered from Real Clear Politics. Predictions based on Gott & Colley's Median Method.
StateEVRecordMedian PollStatus
Alaska  3  0–1–0  37.89–59.42 2008 McCain
Alabama  9  0–1–0  38.74–60.32 2008 McCain
Arkansas  6  0–1–0  31–58
Arizona  11  1–1–0  44–47
California  55  6–0–0  53.5–39
Colorado  9  9–7–1  47–46
Connecticut  7  8–0–0  54–41
District Of Columbia  3  1–0–0  92.46–6.53 2008 Obama
Delaware  3  1–0–0  61.91–36.93 2008 Obama
Florida  29  6–16–1  48–49
Georgia  16  0–2–0  43.5–51.5
Hawaii  4  2–0–0  60–33
Iowa  6  8–3–2  49–47
Idaho  4  0–1–0  27–63
Illinois  20  3–0–0  57–41
Indiana  11  0–3–0  41–51
Kansas  6  0–1–0  41.55–56.48 2008 McCain
Kentucky  8  0–1–0  39–53 latest (2012-09-13)
Louisiana  8  0–1–0  37–53
Massachusetts  11  9–0–0  56–39
Maryland  10  2–0–0  57.5–36
Maine  4  4–0–0  49–40
Michigan  16  11–1–1  49–46
Minnesota  10  8–0–0  51.5–44
Missouri  10  0–5–0  42–54
Mississippi  6  0–1–0  43–56.17 2008 McCain
Montana  3  0–4–0  43–53
North Carolina  15  0–8–3  48–51
North Dakota  3  0–4–0  40–54
Nebraska  5  0–2–0  40.5–54
New Hampshire  4  8–4–3  50–49
New Jersey  14  6–0–0  51–40.5
New Mexico  5  3–0–0  49–39
Nevada  6  11–0–1  49–46.5
New York  29  3–0–0  61–35
Ohio  18  24–3–5  49.5–47.5
Oklahoma  7  0–1–0  33–59
Oregon  7  3–0–0  47–41
Pennsylvania  20  13–0–1  50–45.5
Rhode Island  4  2–0–0  56–32.5
South Carolina  9  0–1–0  44.9–53.87 2008 McCain
South Dakota  3  0–1–0  44.75–53.16 2008 McCain
Tennessee  11  0–1–0  34–59
Texas  38  0–1–0  38–54
Utah  6  0–1–0  26–68 latest (2012-07-10)
Virginia  13  6–7–2  47–47
Vermont  3  1–0–0  62–25 latest (2012-08-21)
Washington  12  7–0–0  55–42
Wisconsin  10  15–0–2  49–46
West Virginia  5  0–1–0  33–54 latest (2012-10-02)
Wyoming  3  0–1–0  32.54–64.78 2008 McCain
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