2012-10-31

Obama278, Romney256, Toss-Up4
Poll data gathered from Real Clear Politics. Predictions based on Gott & Colley's Median Method.
StateEVRecordMedian PollStatus
Alaska  3  010  37.8959.42 2008 McCain
Alabama  9  010  38.7460.32 2008 McCain
Arkansas  6  010  3158
Arizona  11  110  4447.5
California  55  400  53.539.5
Colorado  9  681  4748
Connecticut  7  800  53.541
District Of Columbia  3  100  92.466.53 2008 Obama
Delaware  3  100  61.9136.93 2008 Obama
Florida  29  6151  4849
Georgia  16  020  43.551.5
Hawaii  4  100  5932
Iowa  6  412  4947
Idaho  4  010  2763
Illinois  20  300  5741
Indiana  11  010  4154
Kansas  6  010  41.5556.48 2008 McCain
Kentucky  8  010  3953 latest (2012-09-13)
Louisiana  8  020  36.556
Massachusetts  11  800  57.539.5
Maryland  10  200  57.536
Maine  4  200  4539
Michigan  16  801  4845
Minnesota  10  600  5245.5
Missouri  10  060  4452.5
Mississippi  6  010  4356.17 2008 McCain
Montana  3  020  4352.5
North Carolina  15  192  47.551
North Dakota  3  040  4054
Nebraska  5  020  3952.5
New Hampshire  4  542  4848
New Jersey  14  600  5140.5
New Mexico  5  300  4939
Nevada  6  1101  49.547.5
New York  29  300  6135
Ohio  18  2144  4644
Oklahoma  7  010  3359
Oregon  7  300  4741
Pennsylvania  20  1200  5045.5
Rhode Island  4  100  5832
South Carolina  9  010  44.953.87 2008 McCain
South Dakota  3  010  44.7553.16 2008 McCain
Tennessee  11  010  3459
Texas  38  010  3854
Utah  6  010  2668 latest (2012-07-10)
Virginia  13  692  4849
Vermont  3  100  6225 latest (2012-08-21)
Washington  12  400  53.540.5
Wisconsin  10  1001  5149
West Virginia  5  010  3354
Wyoming  3  010  32.5464.78 2008 McCain

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