| Obama | 333, | Romney | 205, | Toss-Up | 0 |
| State | EV | Record | Median Poll | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | 3 | 0–1–0 | 37.89–59.42 | 2008 McCain |
| Alabama | 9 | 0–1–0 | 38.74–60.32 | 2008 McCain |
| Arkansas | 6 | 0–1–0 | 35–56 | latest (2012-09-17) |
| Arizona | 11 | 1–3–0 | 43–49.5 | |
| California | 55 | 1–0–0 | 53–39 | |
| Colorado | 9 | 7–6–0 | 49–48 | |
| Connecticut | 7 | 6–0–0 | 54–41.5 | |
| District Of Columbia | 3 | 1–0–0 | 92.46–6.53 | 2008 Obama |
| Delaware | 3 | 1–0–0 | 61.91–36.93 | 2008 Obama |
| Florida | 29 | 10–7–0 | 48–47 | |
| Georgia | 16 | 0–1–0 | 43–51 | |
| Hawaii | 4 | 2–0–0 | 60.5–31 | |
| Iowa | 6 | 7–1–1 | 48–44 | |
| Idaho | 4 | 0–1–0 | 27–63 | |
| Illinois | 20 | 2–0–0 | 48–37 | |
| Indiana | 11 | 0–2–0 | 40.5–53 | |
| Kansas | 6 | 0–1–0 | 41.55–56.48 | 2008 McCain |
| Kentucky | 8 | 0–1–0 | 39–53 | latest (2012-09-13) |
| Louisiana | 8 | 0–2–0 | 36.5–56 | |
| Massachusetts | 11 | 8–0–0 | 54.5–34.5 | |
| Maryland | 10 | 2–0–0 | 56–35 | |
| Maine | 4 | 2–0–0 | 51.5–38.5 | |
| Michigan | 16 | 10–0–0 | 51–46 | |
| Minnesota | 10 | 3–0–0 | 50–40 | |
| Missouri | 10 | 0–4–0 | 45–49.5 | |
| Mississippi | 6 | 0–1–0 | 43–56.17 | 2008 McCain |
| Montana | 3 | 0–2–0 | 43–52.5 | |
| North Carolina | 15 | 2–6–1 | 48–51 | |
| North Dakota | 3 | 0–1–0 | 40–54 | |
| Nebraska | 5 | 0–2–0 | 38.5–52 | |
| New Hampshire | 4 | 5–1–2 | 50–47 | |
| New Jersey | 14 | 5–0–0 | 51–40 | |
| New Mexico | 5 | 4–0–0 | 51–40.5 | |
| Nevada | 6 | 10–0–2 | 48.5–46 | |
| New York | 29 | 1–0–0 | 62–34 | latest (2012-09-09) |
| Ohio | 18 | 14–3–0 | 45–42 | |
| Oklahoma | 7 | 0–1–0 | 29–58 | latest (2012-08-14) |
| Oregon | 7 | 1–0–0 | 50–41 | latest (2012-09-13) |
| Pennsylvania | 20 | 12–0–0 | 50–44 | |
| Rhode Island | 4 | 2–0–0 | 57.5–32.5 | |
| South Carolina | 9 | 0–1–0 | 44.9–53.87 | 2008 McCain |
| South Dakota | 3 | 0–1–0 | 44.75–53.16 | 2008 McCain |
| Tennessee | 11 | 0–1–0 | 41.79–56.85 | 2008 McCain |
| Texas | 38 | 0–1–0 | 39–58 | |
| Utah | 6 | 0–1–0 | 26–68 | latest (2012-07-10) |
| Virginia | 13 | 6–5–0 | 46–44 | |
| Vermont | 3 | 1–0–0 | 62–25 | latest (2012-08-21) |
| Washington | 12 | 6–0–0 | 54.5–41 | |
| Wisconsin | 10 | 7–0–0 | 50–47 | |
| West Virginia | 5 | 0–1–0 | 33–54 | |
| Wyoming | 3 | 0–1–0 | 32.54–64.78 | 2008 McCain |