| Obama | 297, | Romney | 235, | Toss-Up | 6 |
| State | EV | Record | Median Poll | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | 3 | 0–1–0 | 37.89–59.42 | 2008 McCain |
| Alabama | 9 | 0–1–0 | 38.74–60.32 | 2008 McCain |
| Arkansas | 6 | 0–1–0 | 38.86–58.72 | 2008 McCain |
| Arizona | 11 | 0–1–0 | 41–52 | latest (2012-07-25) |
| California | 55 | 1–0–0 | 55–37 | latest (2012-07-02) |
| Colorado | 9 | 3–1–0 | 49–46 | |
| Connecticut | 7 | 3–0–0 | 51–43 | |
| District Of Columbia | 3 | 1–0–0 | 92.46–6.53 | 2008 Obama |
| Delaware | 3 | 1–0–0 | 61.91–36.93 | 2008 Obama |
| Florida | 29 | 3–4–0 | 47–48 | |
| Georgia | 16 | 0–1–0 | 42–50 | latest (2012-07-29) |
| Hawaii | 4 | 1–0–0 | 71.85–26.58 | 2008 Obama |
| Iowa | 6 | 1–1–0 | 45.5–45.5 | |
| Idaho | 4 | 0–1–0 | 35.91–61.21 | 2008 McCain |
| Illinois | 20 | 1–0–0 | 61.85–36.74 | 2008 Obama |
| Indiana | 11 | 0–1–0 | 35–51 | latest (2012-08-01) |
| Kansas | 6 | 0–1–0 | 41.55–56.48 | 2008 McCain |
| Kentucky | 8 | 0–1–0 | 40–48 | |
| Louisiana | 8 | 0–1–0 | 39.93–58.56 | 2008 McCain |
| Massachusetts | 11 | 1–0–0 | 55–39 | |
| Maryland | 10 | 1–0–0 | 61.92–36.47 | 2008 Obama |
| Maine | 4 | 1–0–0 | 49–35 | latest (2012-06-25) |
| Michigan | 16 | 4–1–1 | 49–45 | |
| Minnesota | 10 | 1–0–0 | 46–40 | latest (2012-07-19) |
| Missouri | 10 | 1–4–0 | 43–50 | |
| Mississippi | 6 | 0–1–0 | 43–56.17 | 2008 McCain |
| Montana | 3 | 0–1–0 | 38–55 | |
| North Carolina | 15 | 0–3–2 | 47–48 | |
| North Dakota | 3 | 0–1–0 | 36–51 | latest (2012-07-11) |
| Nebraska | 5 | 0–1–0 | 41.6–56.53 | 2008 McCain |
| New Hampshire | 4 | 2–0–0 | 50–45.5 | |
| New Jersey | 14 | 2–0–0 | 51–40.5 | |
| New Mexico | 5 | 1–0–0 | 52–38 | |
| Nevada | 6 | 2–0–0 | 48.5–46 | |
| New York | 29 | 1–0–0 | 62–33 | |
| Ohio | 18 | 4–2–2 | 45–44.5 | |
| Oklahoma | 7 | 0–1–0 | 29–58 | |
| Oregon | 7 | 1–0–0 | 50–42 | latest (2012-06-24) |
| Pennsylvania | 20 | 3–0–0 | 49–40 | |
| Rhode Island | 4 | 1–0–0 | 62.86–35.06 | 2008 Obama |
| South Carolina | 9 | 0–1–0 | 44.9–53.87 | 2008 McCain |
| South Dakota | 3 | 0–1–0 | 44.75–53.16 | 2008 McCain |
| Tennessee | 11 | 0–1–0 | 41.79–56.85 | 2008 McCain |
| Texas | 38 | 0–1–0 | 43.63–55.39 | 2008 McCain |
| Utah | 6 | 0–1–0 | 26–68 | latest (2012-07-10) |
| Virginia | 13 | 2–1–1 | 47.5–46.5 | |
| Vermont | 3 | 1–0–0 | 62–25 | |
| Washington | 12 | 1–0–0 | 54–37 | latest (2012-08-02) |
| Wisconsin | 10 | 3–2–0 | 49–47 | |
| West Virginia | 5 | 0–1–0 | 42.51–55.6 | 2008 McCain |
| Wyoming | 3 | 0–1–0 | 32.54–64.78 | 2008 McCain |