| Obama | 306, | Romney | 203, | Toss-Up | 29 |
| State | EV | Record | Median Poll | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | 3 | solid Romney | ||
| Alabama | 9 | solid Romney | ||
| Arkansas | 6 | 0–1–0 | 33–57 | latest (2012-03-26) |
| Arizona | 11 | 0–1–0 | 41–52 | |
| California | 55 | 1–0–0 | 55–37 | latest (2012-07-02) |
| Colorado | 9 | 2–1–1 | 48–46.5 | |
| Connecticut | 7 | 1–0–0 | 51–43 | |
| District Of Columbia | 3 | solid Obama | ||
| Delaware | 3 | solid Obama | ||
| Florida | 29 | 2–2–0 | 47.5–47.5 | |
| Georgia | 16 | 0–2–0 | 41.5–50 | |
| Hawaii | 4 | 1–0–0 | 59–32 | latest (2011-10-16) |
| Iowa | 6 | 0–1–0 | 44–46 | |
| Idaho | 4 | solid Romney | ||
| Illinois | 20 | 1–0–0 | 56–35 | latest (2012-02-06) |
| Indiana | 11 | 0–1–0 | 35–51 | |
| Kansas | 6 | 0–1–0 | 39–48 | latest (2011-11-21) |
| Kentucky | 8 | 0–1–0 | 40–48 | latest (2011-08-28) |
| Louisiana | 8 | 0–1–0 | 37–53 | latest (2011-10-07) |
| Massachusetts | 11 | 1–0–0 | 55–39 | latest (2012-06-24) |
| Maryland | 10 | 1–0–0 | 58–35 | latest (2012-05-21) |
| Maine | 4 | 1–0–0 | 49–35 | latest (2012-06-25) |
| Michigan | 16 | 4–1–0 | 48–42 | |
| Minnesota | 10 | 1–0–0 | 46–40 | latest (2012-07-19) |
| Missouri | 10 | 0–4–0 | 43–50.5 | |
| Mississippi | 6 | 0–1–0 | 36–54 | latest (2011-11-06) |
| Montana | 3 | 0–1–0 | 42–51 | latest (2012-06-18) |
| North Carolina | 15 | 1–1–0 | 46.5–47.5 | |
| North Dakota | 3 | 0–1–0 | 36–51 | latest (2012-07-11) |
| Nebraska | 5 | 0–1–0 | 39–53 | latest (2012-05-16) |
| New Hampshire | 4 | 2–0–0 | 50–45.5 | |
| New Jersey | 14 | 2–0–0 | 49.5–39 | |
| New Mexico | 5 | 1–0–0 | 49–44 | latest (2012-07-16) |
| Nevada | 6 | 1–0–0 | 50–45 | |
| New York | 29 | 1–0–0 | 55–32 | |
| Ohio | 18 | 3–1–1 | 48–45 | |
| Oklahoma | 7 | 0–1–0 | 29–58 | |
| Oregon | 7 | 1–0–0 | 50–42 | latest (2012-06-24) |
| Pennsylvania | 20 | 3–0–0 | 49–43 | |
| Rhode Island | 4 | 1–0–0 | 54–37 | latest (2012-02-22) |
| South Carolina | 9 | 1–0–0 | 45–42 | latest (2011-12-06) |
| South Dakota | 3 | 0–1–0 | 40–46 | latest (2012-01-30) |
| Tennessee | 11 | 0–1–0 | 40–47 | latest (2012-05-09) |
| Texas | 38 | 0–1–0 | 43–50 | latest (2012-04-22) |
| Utah | 6 | 0–1–0 | 26–68 | latest (2012-07-10) |
| Virginia | 13 | 2–1–0 | 48–46 | |
| Vermont | 3 | 1–0–0 | 54–34 | |
| Washington | 12 | 1–0–0 | 54–37 | |
| Wisconsin | 10 | 4–1–0 | 49–45 | |
| West Virginia | 5 | 0–1–0 | 33–54 | latest (2011-10-02) |
| Wyoming | 3 | solid Romney | ||